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Inside the numbers: Neigh sayers

by Neil Malcolm  |  Published August 25, 2011 at 11:01 AM ET

Rival bidders aren't horsing around. Indeed, competing parties for insolvent companies' assets have launched a "canter" offensive against stalking-horse bidders. As a result, the success rate of lead bidders in bankruptcy-related merger and acquisition deals has been reined in.

The 63.7% winning percentage of stalking-horse bidders in transactions announced so far this year represents a 19% decline vis-à-vis the corresponding period in 2010. In fact, 2011 is a loss leader for stalking-horse bidders, as the failure rate of 36.3% is the highest for at least the past five years. -- Neil Malcolm

GALLOP POLL

The winning percentage of stalking-horse bidders has declined.
Jan. 1-Aug. 18 of each year

STALKING-HORSE DEALS

Year
No. of total bids
No. of winning bids
No. of losing bids
Winning %

2007
79
62
17
78.5%
2008
152
121
31
79.6
2009
132
109
23
82.6
2010
120
94
26
78.3
2011
91
58
33
63.7

Source: The Deal Pipelilne