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Tuesday, February 9, 
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EMC Corp. earnings preview

Posted on October 20, 2009 at 1:24 PM
Filed under: Acquisitions | Growth Strategy | Sector Watch | Trends
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EMCcorp125.pngEMC Corp. (NYSE:EMC), easing through the integration of Data Domain Inc., reports third-quarter earnings on Thursday with a Webcast being held at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Analyst takes

Last week, Thomas Weisel Partners LLC analyst Doug Reid upgraded shares of the acquisitive data storage tech provider to "Overweight" from "Market Weight." He also increased the revenue estimate for 3Q from $3.4 billion to $3.45 billion and the EPS estimate from 18 cents to 21 cents.

A research note showed Reid raised the 12-month price target from $15 to $24. Among other points, the raised target is based on EMC seeing improving demand for data storage systems in the fourth quarter and improving trends in VMware Inc. (NYSE:VMW), "where an unfolding IT hardware refresh cycle is, we believe, likely to drive a reacceleration in server virtualization activity."

Also last week, Edward Jones analyst Bill Kreher wrote in a research note that the storage market is expected to witness strong long-term growth given:
  • Delayed investment in storage products during the downturn leading to increased investment down the road,
  • increasing regulatory and compliance needs that will fuel demand for storage, and
  • explosive growth in digital content as legacy data and media content migrate to digital formats.
In July, Canaccord Adams Inc. noted several risk factors for Hopkinton, Mass.'s EMC -- one being that EMC counts Dell Inc. (NYSE:DELL) as its only major customer, at about 12% of sales in 2008. Canaccord analysts said, "Dell made public statements pertaining to its desire to make 'transformative acquisitions.' Should said activity include the purchase of a storage systems supplier, our fundamental outlook could be negatively impacted." Dell recently bought IT services company Perot Systems Corp. (NYSE:PER) for about $3.9 billion.

Management and strategy

EMC chief executive Joseph Tucci wants to retire in three years when he's 65. EMC recently hired Patrick Gelsinger, who ran the core chip business at Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC), to run its storage products operation. We noted that by bringing in a high-powered potential successor, Tucci is increasing the odds that EMC will continue to be a consolidator, as opposed to becoming a target for someone like Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO).

Money to spend, sector consolidation

EMC completed its $2.2 billion acquisition of Data Domain in July and still has billions of dollars for potential deals. And the data center sector has been consolidating. The M&A run started shortly after Cisco Systems announced in March that it was moving into data centers. In April, Oracle Corp. (NASDAQ:ORCL) spent $7.4 billion to acquire Sun Microsystems Inc. (NASDAQ:JAVA).

Tucci said the Sun deal raised the stakes in the battle for control of the corporate data center market. Most recently, stoking the data center M&A trend, Emerson Electric Co. (NYSE:EMR) said it will acquire Avocent Corp. (NASDAQ:AVCT) for $1.2 billion in cash.

If EMC's track record is any indication, we'll hear about more deals. It's M&A strategy made it a contender for our Most Admired Corporate Dealmakers award in the IT sector. Check out the other candidates and vote for the best at www.TheDeal.com/CDsurvey. - Baz Hiralal

Also see:
Cheaper buys than Brocade


See the complete list of information technology companies


EMC Corp.
Acquisitions
Date
Target
Acquirer
Deal value ($mill.)
10/31/08
Trango Virtual Processors SARL VMware Inc.
(Parent: EMC Corp.)
$64
69/30/2008
Blue Lane Technologies Inc. VMware Inc.
(Parent: EMC Corp.)
15
4/1/08
Conchango plc EMC Computer Systems (UK) Ltd.
(Parent: EMC Corp.)
83
3/5/08
Iomega Corp. EMC Corp.
211
12/26/07
EMC Document Sciences Corp. EMC Corp.
85
4/26/07
Propero Ltd. VMware Inc.
(Parent: EMC Corp.)
25
11/1/06
Avamar Technologies Inc. EMC Corp.
165
9/18/06
Network Intelligence Corp. EMC Corp.
245
6/29/06
RSA Security Inc. EMC Corp.
2,134
5/6/06
Kashya Inc. EMC Corp.
153
Total
$3,179





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