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Saturday, November 21, 
11:18 pm

Dealwatch: TXU

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The $45 billion buyout of Dallas power generator TXU Corp. led by Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. and TPG became a reality Oct. 10, and can bill itself as the largest-ever leveraged buyout, for now.

The sale of the company's debt will be closely watched for indications of just how much markets have rebounded after this summer's credit crunch. A downgrade came as the six banks underwriting the financing geared up earlier in the week to market $5 billion of the nearly $35 billion they agreed to commit. But given TXU's credit risk profile, they may ultimately be able to sell much more, The Deal's Vipal Monga and Claire Poole point out. (See more below on the markets.)

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From a regulatory standpoint, the deal moved closer to reality Sept. 11 when the Nuclear Regulatory Commission approved the deal, following the green light from shareholders (Sept. 7), the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's stamp of approval (Sept. 6) and a major shareholder changing course, throwing its support behind the buyout, the week before.

The $69.25 per share take-private is the largest ever stateside and second only to the pending $49.2 billion takeover of Canadian telecom BCE Inc. TXU announced the buyout Feb. 28 and at the time pointed to: price cuts, stronger environmental policies and continued dialogue with Texas regulators for "new TXU." A 50-day go-shop period ensued, during which TXU contacted 70 prospective bidders, but the company said April 19 it had not found any takers.

The deal has not been without challenges and opposition.

THE MARKETS

In March, Monga contended: "The giant buyout will take six months or so to close. That's a long time to bet that capital markets will remain serene."

They didn't, but that's not necessarily bad news for TXU, as Monga wrote in September:

One leveraged finance banker said lenders would be happy to see some deals blow up but said most of the transactions in the pipeline will likely stay intact, especially because the buyers believe the companies in question are good ones. Moreover, the debt used to finance them is coming cheaply, based on terms set out in the banks' binding credit agreements.

One such credit is TXU, expected to close on Oct. 31. The Texas utility is being bought by KKR and TPG for $45 billion and financed with $37.5 billion in loans and bonds. The company is seen as operationally strong, but it might not be able to sell all of its debt, based simply on the terrible demand-supply equation.

In July, a report from AFX News/Thomson Financial indicated banks might pull out, opting to pay the $1 billion breakup fee. A source connected to one of the lenders, however, told The Deal the report was absolutely false.

PULLING OUT THE STOPS

Beyond market factors, the buyout demanded shareholder and regulatory approval. Texas regulators tried to pass a bill that would enable the Texas Public Utility Commission oversight of the deal, but to no avail. In April, former Secretary of State James Baker and Rep. Joe Barton came down on opposing sides of the deal. Baker, a senior partner with Baker & Botts LLP and heading up the team advising TXU's buyers, contended the sale would be good for consumers and an improvement over the current management. Barton, a Texas Republican and ranking member on the Committee for Energy and Commerce, called the deal "bad for Texas" this spring, arguing for the FERC to have more authority over the buyout, saying rates are already high and would likely increase upon the deal's close.

The utility has made several promises to appeal to customers and environmentalists alike, like price cuts and walking from plans to build eight of 11 coal-fired power plants. Some highlights:

When it looked as if the deal could still fail, TXU threatened in a filing with the SEC Aug. 13 that a three-way breakup could follow. Pointing to market, legislative and regulatory challenges, the company said it could spin off its three core units — transmission, generation and retail electricity — but that it considered the buyout premium superior and that "a future premium in a standalone situation would be less likely," Poole wrote.

INDUSTRY IMPACT

The deal could set the stage for other buyouts, possibly one for bankrupt California electricity generation giant Calpine Corp., or Mirant Corp., an independent power producer based in Atlanta, which said in April it was weighing strategic alternatives. —Carolyn Murphy

Dealwatch executive summary
The Date
The Action
10.10.07 TXU buyout closes.
10.08.07 TXU downgraded ahead of buyout.
9.11.07 NRC offers buyout approval.
9.07.07 Shareholders OK TXU buyout.
9.06.07 FERC approves TXU buyout.
9.04.07 Will debt markets sour TXU buyout?
8.24.07 BCE buyout group believes the deal will go through.
8.13.07 TXU threatens breakup if deal fails.
8.2007 Proxy firms, labor voice support of TXU buyout.
7.31.07 Will banks pull out of TXU deal? Unlikely, a source tells The Deal.
7.25.07 TXU urges shareholders to support buyout.
7.24.07 Franklin Resources vows to vote against the buyout.
6.08.07 Could Calpine be a buyout target?
5.29.07 TXU offers rate cuts.
5.23.07 Texas legislators ink bill to separate TXU's business units.
5.08.07 TXU and its investors vow to help low-income customers.
4.2007 Mirant weighs strategic alternatives.
4.19.07 TXU's go-shop ends; KKR-TPG buyout still tops.
4.18.07 TXU announces executive moves.
4.11.07 KKR, TPG cut deal with electric workers' union.
3.29.07 Barton wants FERC to have expanded oversight role in TXU buyout.
3.29.07 TXU cuts rates.
3.21.07 KKR threatens to walk if more conditions are imposed.
3.15.07 Texas legislators set to review TXU buyout.
3.07.07 KKR, TPG won't sell parts of TXU.
3.02.07

Will the markets hold?

2.26.07 TPG agrees to buyout.

Source: The Deal




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