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Saturday, November 21, 
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Dealwatch: Dubai

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dubai.jpgDubai International Capital LLC said Nov. 26 it had made a "substantial investment" in Japanese electronics powerhouse Sony Corp., its latest high-profile target. The deal follows news Nov. 5 the state-owned investor agreed to a £600 million ($1.25 billion) deal for U.K. medical scanning service Alliance Medical Ltd., just days after taking a 9.9% stake in Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC, ahead of the New York hedge fund's initial public offering, for more than $1 billion, and acquiring Almatis BV, the world's largest producer of alumina products, for undisclosed terms.

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News of the Sony stake comes the same day DP World Ltd., the state-owned ports operator that was the subject of a political brouhaha that began in Washington in 2005, soared in its initial public offering. The company raised $4.96 billion in the Middle East's largest share sale and rose 4.6% in its first day of trade, Bloomberg reported. DP World may again have its sights on U.S. targets, Reuters said. (See more on the regulatory battle below.)

Dubai's recent spate of M&A activity comes as the country and its neighbors reap the rewards of high oil prices. The nations of the Middle East have increasingly set their sights on targets outside the region. But for the United Arab Emirates' second-largest state specifically, such dealmaking is particularly interesting, marked by high-profile targets and big-time battles for a buyer arguably cast as a small fry with limited oil reserves. 

MODEL INVESTING

According to an item from The Wall Street Journal's Dealbook Sept. 20 citing figures from Dealogic, dealmaking with at least one Middle Eastern party had already hit $104 billion — 61% above full-year 2006 totals. The account points to several of these deals involving external targets including Saudi Basic Industries' $11.6 billion deal for GE Plastics; Dubai World staking MGM Mirage, paying $5 billion for 9.5% stake and a 50% ownership in its massive CityCenter undertaking in Las Vegas; and Qatar Investment Authority's investment in British grocery group J Sainsbury plc. In fact, Qatar's Delta (Two) Ltd. controls 25% of Sainsbury, which earlier in September opened its books for a prospective takeover from the government-controlled entity worth nearly $24 billion. The Sainsbury deal would later fall apart.

But back to Dubai. Its government-owned entities, as The Deal's Paul Whitfield tells us, are linked with the personal assets of its ruler, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al-Maktoum. In terms of buying power, its assets are far less than that of its neighbors. DIC has $5 billion to $10 billion in holdings, says the region's Gulf Research Center, while Qatar Investment Authority has $40 billion, Saudi Arabia possesses $250 billion across funds, and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority has $600 billion to $700 billion worth.

So what's a state to do? Adopt a Western private equity-style of investment, relying heavily on debt, and go after big-name brands, thereby opening the doors to would-be buyers, Whitfield writes:

Yet it is not only economic necessity that has driven Dubai into the dealmaking spotlight. "There seems to be an element of marketing to their acquisitions," says [Eckart Woertz, economic program manager at the Gulf Research Center]. "Dubai wants to raise its profile as a financial hub and this [bidding for high-profile assets] is one way to do it."

A snapshot of battles of late:

EXCHANGES:

  • The Emirate's stock exchange operator, Borse Dubai, jumped in earlier this year and tried to scupper a deal between Nasdaq Stock Market Inc. and its agreed-to target OMX AB.
  • Eventually, the two made nice with Dubai agreeing to take both Nasdaq's 28% stake in the London Stock Exchange Group plc (which it was trying to dispose of) and a 20% interest in the Nasdaq itself.
  • The agreement enabled the U.S. exchange to proceed with its planned 25.1 billion Swedish kronor ($3.7 billion) OMX takeover (letting Borse Dubai proceed with its own offer, then exchanging 60.6 million Nasdaq shares and paying nearly $1.7 billion in cash for the exchange) and take a small interest in Borse Dubai.
  • Through the deal, Dubai became the first Middle Eastern government to have a stake in a U.S. exchange.

But, it may not be over.

The Qatar Investment Authority, a fund controlled by the Middle Eastern state, which had been expected to pick up the LSE stake, revealed Sept. 20 it had acquired 20% of the exchange's shares. While the fund said it did not intend to make an offer for the LSE, it reserved the right to change its mind if a third party came in. In another statement, it also revealed a 10% holding in OMX, which could thwart Nasdaq's takeover plans. To guard agaist such a situation, Nasdaq and Borse Dubai Sept. 26 sweetened their offer by nearly 15%.

BATTLING FOR BARNEYS

In August, Dubai-controlled private equity house Istithmar PJSC won a bid-off with Japan's Fast Retailing Co. for luxury department store chain Barneys New York.

The deal follows a $300 million play for Loehmann's Holdings Inc. in May 2006. Istithmar picked up the department store group from Atlanta's Arcapita Inc., the private equity arm of Bahrain-based Arcapita Bank BSC. Istithmar is also a major shareholder in Time Warner Inc., and Istithmar was believed in 2004 to be considering buying a stake in Gianni Versace SpA, as were buyout shops Apax Partners, Cerberus Capital Management LP and CVC Capital Partners.

AND FOR THE PORTS:

And in late 2005, the battle of them all began: the DP World ports saga.

The company unveiled a £3.3 billion ($5.7 billion) deal for British port and ferries group Peninsular & Oriental Steam Navigation Co. on Nov. 29 to take advantage of a boom in container shipping. Given P&O's operations at six U.S. ports in 2006, the deal, which was initially approved by CFIUS, the agency that reviews foreign ownership in U.S. companies, drew fire on Capitol Hill, raised questions of national security and eventually led to a bill President Bush signed earlier this year targeting CFIUS reform. DP World sold the U.S. assets to AIG Global Investment Group Dec. 11, 2006.

Unfazed, a DP World senior executive said Oct. 4 the company was considering selling a minority stake in itself via an IPO, which could value the ports operator up to $20 billion.

M&A FLURRY

Other deals throughout 2007 include expressly declared efforts by various state-controlled entities to deploy large sums of capital and have an array of targets.

As The Deal contributors James Rosener and Spencer Abraham concur, there is money to spend, and it has not been lost on cleantech:

The Dubai-based GCC Energy Fund has taken the initial step as the region's first buyout fund focused on the energy sector. ... The firm has already announced traditional and alternative energy investments in Maritime Industrial Services Co. Ltd., the purchase of a stake in Stellar Energy Middle East, the acquisition of a controlling interest in Dhofar Power Co. and the purchase of an equity stake in the Gulmar Offshore Group. Furthermore, the noteworthy success the fund has achieved in such a short period is attracting regional and international PE firms to the Middle East energy sector.

GETTING OUT

On the exit front, DIC earlier this year sold its Tussauds Group to Blackstone Group LP for £1.03 billion in cash and a 20% stake in Blackstone's Merlin Entertainments Group Ltd. leisure division. DIC bought the famed wax museum company in 2005 for £800 million.

CAN'T WIN 'EM ALL

George Gillett made a play for the Liverpool Football Club and Athletic Grounds plc, but he was pushed away on Dec. 4 when Liverpool said it had entered into exclusive talks with DIC. On Jan. 31, the club's board chose not to recommend the proposed offer to shareholders, and Gillett, who had earlier signed up Tom Hicks as a partner returned to the bid table. Dubai abandoned its pursuit and Gillett came back to ink a $429 million deal Feb. 6.

And as it thinks big, Dubai itself is redeveloping, with grand ambitions of the world's tallest five-star deluxe hotel, as well as largest man-made marina and island.

BIG BROTHER

And then there's Qatar, which controls with Dubai a $1 billion investment vehicle, and, as Whitfield points out, has "ambitions to become their region's dominant financial [center]." The battle between the two over OMX and Nasdaq is certain not to be the last.  —Carolyn Murphy

Dealwatch executive summary
The Date
The Action
11.26.07 DIC stakes Sony; DP World rises in its debut.
11.05.07 DIC picks up Alliance Medical.
10.29.07 DIC stakes Och-Ziff.
10.04.07 DP World may sell minority stake.
9.21.07 Dubai steps out.
9.21.07 Bourse Dubai stakes the Nasdaq, spurs CFIUS debate.
9.20.07 Sainsbury opens books to Delta.
9.20.07 Middle East on buying spree.
9.17.07 An examination of alternative energy investment in the Middle East.
8.22.07 Dubai World invests $5 billion in Vegas projects.
8.09.07 Istithmar wins Barneys, finally.
7.05.07 Dubai stakes Eads.
6.22.07 Istithmar agrees to acquire Barneys.
6.13.07 Dubai and Qatar set up $1 billion fund.
5.17.07 Dubai International stakes DB.
5.01.07 Dubai International invests in HSBC.
4.02.07 Dubai Aerospace grabs Standard Aero.
3.06.07 Blackstone lands Tussauds with $2 billion offer.
12.04.06 Dubai and Liverpool first open talks.
8.17.06 Dubai International grabs Travelodge.
4.28.06 Doncasters deal gets green light.
1.03.06 Istithmar ropes Inchcape Shipping with $285 million deal.
12.01.05 DP World inks deal for P&O.
Source: The Deal





Comments

From: Tory,

Fascinating compilation, made possible, I suppose, by Dubai's transparency.
Would LOVE to see a similar report for the uber-secretive Qatar (QIA, various Delta groups, Addiyar) that keeps popping up on radar screens.


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