The Deal
Saturday, November 7, 
9:56 pm

Beer Brawl: Will InBev go hostile?

  Share     E-Mail    Discussion    Print Story
budweiser_longnecks_on_ice.jpgIs InBev SA in a hostile takeover mode now that Anheuser-Busch Cos. has rejected its $65 per share bid? Many analysts agree that Anheuser-Busch may be too tempting a target to pass up. Additionally, InBev's latest maneuver to oust the companies directors seems hostile, but the Belgian-Brazilian brewer has not formally declared the bid as hostile.

Continue reading below

Also on Dealscape

Count Erin Smith, an analyst at Argus Research Co., as a believer that the stage is set for a hostile bid. She wrote Monday in a note that the rejection makes a hostile takeover likely because InBev is unlikely to back down.

"We note that Anheuser-Busch does not currently have a poison pill takeover defense, though it does have a means of adopting one. Another option that could derail the takeover, buying the other 50% stake in the Mexican brewer Groupo Modelo, is unlikely, in our view as this stake is controlled by six families that have the right of refusal if one family decides to sell its shares," Smith writes.

Smith isn't alone in this line of thinking.

"There is absolutely zero doubt that they go hostile," said Rob Mann, an analyst at Collins Stewart in London told a reporter at the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.

Some analysts have even predicted that InBev may have to go as high as $73 per share to close a deal, but Mann thinks it may not matter how high InBev goes.

"I get the impression that InBev could bid $80 (a share) and Anheuser would say 'no way.' To me, there is nothing in what Anheuser has said that justifies a higher price," Mann told the Post-Dispatch.

Both Anheuser-Busch and InBev are trying to appease Anheuser-Busch's shareholders in opposite tactics. Anheuser-Busch is focusing on change with an aggressive $1 billion cost-cutting plan and InBev is trying to appease shareholders through appraisal of the American icon and focusing on what will stay the same if the company should be acquired. For instance, InBev placed an ad Monday -- "What would not change at Anheuser-Busch" -- by promising that the company will not change under new ownership. - Maria Woehr

See The Deal's Anheuser-Busch takes out the knife
See The Deal's Anheuser rejects InBev offer
See Corporate Dealmaker's InBev-Bud: Another chapter in 'globalization and its discontents'
See Dealscape's Anheuser-Busch announces restructuring to up the ante?





Post a comment





The Deal Pipeline

Deal Video


Inside The Deal: Linklaters' Schmidt says how regulators handled Pfizer Inc.'s acquisition of Wyeth is an outlier of how others merger reviews will be conducted.


More video...

Crisis On Wall Street
Technology
Deals of The Decade

Community

Industry Insight

Dealing with frozen bank lending

If your bank is not willing to lend, what can you do as your company continues to seek growth?


Judgment Call

The coming age of the renminbi

The Chinese currency will play an increasingly important role in international commerce and finance.


Industry Insight

Banking on PE investments

Howls of protest greeted the FDIC policy statement, but the financial services industry should get over it.


footspacer.jpg footspacer.jpg footspacer.jpg footspacer.jpg footspacer.jpg


©Copyright 2009, The Deal, LLC. All rights reserved. Please send all technical questions, comments or concerns to the Webmaster.