The Deal
Wednesday, November 25, 
5:03 am

Bank Watch: Who would buy Lehman?

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Lehman Brothers Inc. continues to crater as its shares lost another $3.03 or 42%, closing at $4.22 for a bite-sized market cap of under $3 billion. At that price, if it weren't for the unfortunate business of bad mortgage debt, Lehman looks like a tasty treat for a number of healthier banks and firms.

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The day started with talk of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. as the likeliest bidder. However, the Street, which having heard this rumor before, responded unfavorably. Goldman's stock has been punished since the beginning of the week in part because of this rumor. (Goldman earnings look a little shaky this quarter as well.) Additionally, unnamed sources at Goldman told Reuters Thursday afternoon that the firm was not interested in Lehman. "Integrating two large investment banks would be too disruptive," a source told Reuters.

Shortly after the Goldman comments were published, attention swung to Bank of America Corp. as a buyer. The stories that appeared were highly speculative; The Wall Street Journal ended up quoting overheard conversations by Lehman employees. Still, it's not crazy strategically. Lehman would give Bank of America two attractive businesses, investment banking and Neuberger Berman LLC, without much overlap. Neuberger Berman would provide BofA an opportunity to upsell through its retail network, and Lehman's investment banking operations would give Banc of America Securities LLC some much needed heft. BofA has been trying to build a bulge bracket advisory business for over a decade.

However, there are some catches. BofA is still digesting the acquisition of mortgage giant Countrywide, which has been stop and go. And then there's Lehman's slug of toxic mortgages. Unless the Federal Reserve is willing to absorb those mortgages -- as it did for J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. when it swallowed Bear Stearns Cos. -- there is no reason to believe BofA, or any other bank, will have much to do with Lehman, no matter the price.

Ah, but what about private equity? As the day thankfully ended, The Washington Post chimed in, citing regulatory sources, that the Fed was trying to sell Lehman to private equity. Can't wait for Friday. - Matthew Wurtzel

Troubled Wall Street
Prices at Thursday close
Name Price at
Wed. close
Price at
Thurs. close
Change Mkt cap
J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. 39.4 41.65 2.25 143152.71
Lehman Brothers Inc. 7.6 4.22 -3.03 2930.38
Merrill Lynch & Co. 23.3 19.43 -3.87 29708.05
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. 157.59 157.03 -0.56 61839.17
Morgan Stanley 38.92 38.71 -0.21 42929.92
Citigroup Inc. 18.68 18.61 -0.07 101338.77
Fannie Mae 0.85 0.77 0.03 824.83
Freddie Mac 0.66 0.59 -0.07 381.74
Bank of America Corp. 32.4 33.06 0.66 150757.33
Wachovia Corp. 15.08 14.28 -0.80 30828.45
Washington Mutual Inc. 2.32 2.83 0.51 4826.17
Wells Fargo & Co. 31.70 33.85 2.15 112008.34
Source: The Deal





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