The Deal
Monday, November 23, 
7:48 pm

Shares of GM plunge on fear of equity wipeout

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Rick_Wagoner_with_logo.jpgGeneral Motors Corp. issued a dire warning about its prospects on Friday. On Monday, Wall Street took that warning to heart.

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Shares of the automaker on Monday hit lows not seen since 1946 on fears that the company might run out of cash. GM, which bled through more than $2 billion a month in the third quarter, on Friday said that absent a government bailout or a dramatic upswing for the economy it would fall below its threshold of $11 billion to $14 billion in cash needed to run the business by mid-next-year.

The stock price movement Monday could also be tied to the negative sentiment coming from analysts over the weekend. Deutsche Bank AG in a note to investors predicted GM could be underfunded by early January, and cut its target price to $0. Barclays Capital meanwhile cut its rating to "underweight," setting a target price of $1 per share.

While most expect some sort of government intervention that will allow the automaker to at the very least delay, if not avoid, a filing, the analysts offered little good news for equity investors. Barclays analyst Brian A. Johnson in a note said any government assistance would likely significantly dilute GM's equity. A solution similar to the 1979 bailout of Chrysler Corp., Johnson wrote, would likely transfer 98% of the recapitalized GM's equity to a union healthcare trust, existing debtholders and the government, leaving little for shareholders. - Lou Whiteman 


See TheDeal.com story on GM's warning
See GM's 10Q filing
See Dealwatch: Autos

Lou Whiteman is The Deal's senior airline and automotive reporter.





Comments

From: adam hartung,

Remember when Circuit City was a favorite in "Good to Great" by Jim Collins? Remember when we thought being big like GM gave you clout with customers and vendors to produce long-term returns (Michael Porter's 5 Forces Model)? It's time we recognize that the old approach to management doesn't work in a rapidly shifting competitive world. There are winners in today's market, but they follow a different approach. Read more at http://www.ThePhoenixPrinciple.com


From: PacificGatePost,

ONLY VERY DRASTIC ACTION WILL SAVE DETROIT

CONGRESS: Here’s a radical plan…

http://pacificgatepost.blogspot.com/2008/11/solution-for-detroit-gm-friends.html

It’s this, or bankruptcy. The American Auto industry should be saved but under new conditions.


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