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Sunday, November 8, 
1:57 am

Gasparino: Bringing Jamie Dimon down to earth

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Jamie_Dimon_fingers.jpgCNBC on-air editor Charlie Gasparino's latest column for Tina Brown's Daily Beast makes an intriguing prediction for the new year: The current king of Wall Street, Jamie Dimon, the CEO of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., is headed for a fall. Is it true, or just the wishful thinking from Gasparino's Wall Street sources?

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It's clear from the column that Gasparino's sources are envious of Dimon's current high standing and would like nothing more than to see him knocked down a peg. However, it's not clear what kind of fall Dimon will face should he post a hardly surprising fourth-quarter loss.  Gasparino makes clear that Dimon is not heading the way of Lehman Brothers Inc.'s Dick Fuld or Bear Stearns Cos.' Jimmy Cayne. If Dimon does stumble, the cause would be the cards, as in credit cards, notes Gasparino. And J.P. Morgan's losses, he writes, will still be less than those posted by rivals Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Morgan Stanley.

So what does it all mean? At worst (and it would have to be pretty bad), it could mean more government money will flow into J.P. Morgan (assuming the incoming Obama administration continues capital infusions via TARP). Less lethal, but still unpleasant, the bank's stock, which was down 40% in the fourth quarter, will take a further beating.

In fact, Gasparino is actually arguing not for a collapse but for Dimon to get knocked down a peg or two. Apparently, Dimon expects that too. "People close to Dimon tell me he's well aware of the fact that his image is about to take a major hit along with the financial performance of the bank -- and he's preparing for the worst," writes Gasparino.

Gasparino admits that a number of Wall Streeters already revile the guy because they believe he took advantage of his weaker peers in the week's leading up to Lehman's collapse in September, though envy may play a key role here too. Gasparino writes:

Meanwhile, more than a few Wall Street executives I speak to can't wait for Dimon to be brought down to earth because they believe he has taken glee in the misery of his competitors, particularly during those treacherous weeks in September when Wall Street appeared on its deathbed. Morgan Stanley's John Mack actually called over to J.P. Morgan questioning whether Dimon was badmouthing his firm to steal business from Morgan Stanley -- officials at J.P. Morgan denied that and Dimon himself has told people that he sent out a memo warning that spreading rumors to win client money is a fireable offense.

So who is Dimon going to lose credibility with? Well, the media, which, through adulatory cover stories in magazines like Fortune, has made him just about the only star on Wall Street.

If you're wondering why you haven't read about Jamie Dimon in this way it's because the media picks winners and losers. At least for now, Dimon has been certified a winner -- and for good reason. He's been the best CEO on Wall Street at a time when the Street needed a great CEO.

So this is Dimon's problem. His personal stock was driven up in part because his hard-driving management kept the bank clear of the shoals and in part because everyone else was dying. Some Wall Streeters don't like him, but the media loves him. (Gasparino also argues that his board was annoyed by his "straight-talking" December appearance on CNBC when he discussed the industry's problems.) And because of that, he can do no wrong, that is, until something even moderately bad befalls him. In this economy, that eventuality is all but guaranteed. - Matthew Wurtzel

See story from The Daily Beast

Matthew Wurtzel is the editor of Dealscape.





Comments

From: Banker GP,

Jamie Dimon saw the fall coming and acted prudently. Consequently JP Morgan Chase was in a position to rescue two other financial firms whose leadership had not acted so prudently. Will JPM show a loss for the fourth quarter of 2008? Probably and it should be no surprise to anyone. Will Jamie Dimon take a fall for it? That seems unlikely and I don't personally feel that he would deserve to do so.


From: Sunni Maria,

I don't have a feeling one way or the other about Dimon or Gasparino, but I have learned some interesting things about JPM's financials by reading the pdf research note on Reggie Middleton's BoomBustBlog.com. See the link: http://boombustblog.com/index.php?option=com_myblog&show=Amid-the-rally-I-look-at-the-Doo-Doo-32-and-their-receipt-of-the-TARP.html&Itemid=92
The research note provides some serious analysis regarding the extent of "toxic" debt that JPM acquired as well as some potential inconsistencies in the numbers provided. If Jamie Dimon really does read his company's balance sheet, then he is likely preparing for the worst because he sees/knows what Reggie sees (and his competitors likely see it as well).


From: Funny Man,

Funny how Charlie was backtracking on this today. He said he never said this. Charlie is a lughable reporter who breaks things that were already broken and throws a ton of spaghetti on the wal, and when 1 out 100 hit he claims to be the smartest man alive.


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