The Deal
Wednesday, November 25, 
1:21 am

Green shoots for PE?

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green_shoots125x100.jpgThe Deal magazine's cover story The future and other problems explains that the days of cheap debt as a major driver of PE returns won't come back soon. But, despite the bleak future that U.S. private equity firms may face when leveraged buyout debt comes due, their European counterparts may be witnessing some green shoots in the debt markets, notes a Heard on the Street column from The Wall Street Journal entitled Private Equity's Chink of Light.

The Journal article suggests that logistics group IFCO Systems NV's refinancing of $280 million in debt with a yield of 10.875% is the first for a European PE-backed company since the market closed nearly two years ago. Apax Partners bought IFCO for $125 million (not including debt) in 2003, according to The Deal Pipeline (subscription required).

However, one deal a trend does not make. Furthermore, the Journal notes that IFCO sports a BB credit rating, which is a stronger credit rating than most PE-owned companies, making it an anomaly, not a a trend setter.

The real "chink of light" is buried deeper in the Heard item:

"The evidence points to a market starting the long haul back to normality. Euro junk-bond prices have surged, and spreads, which peaked at an eye-watering 23.26 percentage points over government bonds in December, have tightened to 14.64 percentage points, according to Merrill Lynch indexes."

The article also mentions that European firms are facing the same refinancing troubles that The Deal magazine's feature notes U.S. firms are facing. The buyout spree of 2004 to 2007 has left U.S. buyout firm portfolio companies sitting on $430 billion of senior debt set to come due between 2012 and 2014, according to a McKinsey & Co. report. So U.S. firms should hope the "chink of light" in Europe crosses the Atlantic. - Matthew Wurtzel

See Heard on the Street story from The Wall Street Journal
See feature story from The Deal news magazine





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