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Saturday, November 21, 
7:56 am

AIG shows life with sales, IPO move

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It's been a busy week for American International Group Inc. (NYSE:AIG). So far:

The sales and public offering are signs of life for the insurer, which seemed to be delaying several asset sales due to low valuations. AIG's asset management visit was sold for a purchase price of approximately $500 million, which was in the range of its estimated valuation of $1.7 billion in January 2009 to $350 million in July 2009. Chinatrust's offering is even a tad over the $2 billion the unit was expected to bring in, and the offering of Alico -- which was under debate for awhile with rumors that MetLife Inc. (NYSE:MET) was bidding for t it -- seems to be a go-ahead. It looks like Alico could go public after American International Assurance Co. Ltd., or AIA, is taken public next year. The offering is supposed to raise around $5 billion. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) and Deutsche Bank AG (NYSE:DB) were selected for the AIA offering. Not surprising, Morgan Stanley is expected to get a lead role in offering of Alico.

Those banks also reportedly being interviewed for the Alico underwriting job this week include UBS (NYSE:UBS), Deutsche Bank, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C), Credit Suisse Group AG (NYSE:CS) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:GS), according to Reuters.

So far the insurers asset sales have grossed $9.8 billion, and there are still several other ongoing auctions taking place including:

  • The AIG Global Real Estate fund management business has around $12.4 billion in assets and $5.2 billion in equity capital. The unit could be sold for about $9 billion. Interested bidders could include BlackRock Inc. and Blackstone Group LP (NYSE:BX) (which might be a conflict because Blackstone is advising).

For the latest on all of AIG's auctions check out The Deal's Pipeline (subscription required)

Although valuations may be improving and AIG may net more for its assets, the main question still remains whether it really can pay off the financial aid that prompted the sales in the first place. Trading Markets reported that at least one expert thinks not:

AIG is such a central part of the financial system, they can keep the money as long as they want to and I don't think the government cares," said Joseph Pastore, co-chairman of the securities and financial institutions compliance and defense group at Fox Rothschild LLP. 

However, the company still maintains it will repay it's loan. At the moment the insurer owes over $38 billion to the Federal Reserve and $182.5 billion to the U.S. government in bailout money and $42 billion from aid from the U.S. Treasury's Troubled Asset Relief Program.

Even if AIG never pays off the aid, the controlled breakup of the firm mitigates its systemic risk to the financial system. Perhaps that was the bailout's intent. But while ending the risk is a huge benefit to the American public, it offers cold comfort to taxpayers stuck with the bill at the end of the day. - Maria Woehr

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Comments

From: Mac Skiba,

F.Y.I :

AIG currently owes the government about $86.8 billion. If it successfully spins off AIA and Alico, that burden is reduced to $61.8 billion. And $42.8 billion of that sum carries no interest or dividend payment.

Your article grossly misstates the amount of money AIG owes the government.


From: Maria,

Hi Mac Skiba:
Thanks for your response. Where did you get that info.

Bloomberg has the number I have too:

"The company’s bailout includes at $60 billion credit line, a Treasury Department investment of as much as $70 billion, and $52.5 billion to buy mortgage-linked assets owned or backed by the insurer. AIG agreed to turn over a stake of almost 80 percent to the U.S. in exchange for the rescue."
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aGo_t7xYCCow

Thanks.


From: Maria,

Hey,
were you reading the Forbes article?
http://www.forbes.com/2009/09/01/aig-bailouts-fed-business-washington-aig.html
"AIG has tapped $1.2 billion of the second facility, leaving it with a $42.8 billion obligation to the Treasury, not $70 billion."

Point taken--

But that's only if AIG doesn't dig into the rest of the $70 billion credit line, right? It might need that money to support businesses it has decided to keep because of stalled sales and just used funds of one of its sales to support its P&C biz. Do you think it will need those funds?

I'd love to hear your thoughts on this.


From: Gitangsu's Insurance Guide,

Hi, I'm actually concerned with so many giants facing such situations and opting for bailouts. Isn't there any other option?


From: Nora's Insurance Guide,

I never thought that AIG owes the government with that huge amount.


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