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Wednesday, November 25, 
12:48 am

Next Yahoo! CEO must sharpen unfocused M&A strategy

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Think Jerry Yang, Yahoo! Inc.'s  [YHOO] lame duck CEO, is chiefly to blame for screwing up the mother of all technology deals with Microsoft Corp. [MSFT]? No sir. Fine, he played a starring role, but the deeper truth about Yahoo!--and one that the new boss will have to contend with--is that this is a company with a deeply dysfunctional record of M&A.

In the past five years Yahoo! has spent $4.7 billion on 15 acquisitions, purchasing another 27 companies over that time without disclosing a price. Yet since 2004 the Internet giant has limped steadily toward oblivion. While Yahoo! was spending heavily on acquisitions, its annual revenue growth was slowing dramatically, peaking at 120% in 2004 and dwindling to 47.1% in 2005, 22.2% in 2006, 8.5% in 2007 and 5.8% this year.As a result, its M&A strategy must be adjudged, if not an outright failure, then at least a disappointment.

Comparing Yahoo!'s results over this time to that of Cisco Systems Inc., for years the consensus leader among technology industry acquirers, highlights the Internet company's weak performance. Since 2003, the networking giant has spent $14.7 billion on 43 deals. In other words, despite being an even busier buyer than Yahoo!, with all the peril that mergers entail, its financial performance has remained strong. Over the past five years, Cisco had trailing 12-month revenue growth of -0.2% in 2003, 16.8% (2004), 12.5% (2005), 14.9% (2006), 22.7% (2007) and 13.2% (2008). The company's average year-over-year growth rate during this period was 13.3%. While Yahoo!'s comparable growth rate of 45.6% is superior, Cisco, despite its much bigger size and competing in a more mature sector, is today far and away the more profitable, faster-growing company.

Obviously, companies in different sectors face different competitive dynamics, so such comparisons aren't entirely useful. But all companies are subject to one cardinal law of M&A: acquisitions should produce more value than they consume. Yahoo!'s deals fail this simple sniff test.

The biggest of Yahoo!'s acquisitions during the time period in question was the 2003 acquisition for $1.6 billion of Overture Services Inc., while in another major purchase Yahoo! bought French comparison-shopping site Kelkoo SA in 2004 for $576 million. In different ways, both deals were mistakes. Overture provided paid search services, among other offerings, a business dominated by Google Inc. [GOOG] Yahoo! put years of effort and millions of dollars into developing a successor to Overture, called Panama, but Google has still steamrolled it in paid search. Meanwhile, after Yahoo! this week agreed to sell Kelkoo to a British private equity firm for less than $125 million, Kelkoo's former CEO said in a blog post that the startup failed to grow under its owner because of Yahoo!'s "inability ... to develop itself in the transactional universe." Yahoo! leaders also do not know how to manage a non-U.S. enterprise, he added.

Yahoo! officials acknowledge the purchase of Kelkoo didn't work out. And they say the service no longer conformed with the company's strategy to focus on its properties, such as Yahoo!'s home page, search, e-mail and MyYahoo!, that its users visit multiple times a day. More broadly, they strongly defend Yahoo!'s acquisition strategy, denying that M&A strategy has contributed to the company's slowing growth.

"If you look at one of our largest acquisitions, Overture Services, we've had a very substantial return on that investment," says Marta Nichols, vice president of investor relations with Yahoo!. "We had not been a principal in search, and now search is a very important business for us.""We feel good about the acquisitions we've made," Nichols goes on to say.

Yet this very preoccupation with search -- driven by Yahoo!'s fixation on competing with Google -- itself deserves scrutiny. Yahoo!'s current travails owe largely to its failure coming up with innovative, and profitable, ways to compete in search. It compounded the error by continuing to make acquisitions to support the business, even as Yahoo! was evolving into a company focused on providing online content and services. Worse, by fighting on too many fronts, the company's dealmakers had to purchase a broad range of companies, rather than focusing on the few areas where Yahoo! could lead.

Over time, M&A generally works best when it's hitched to a few strong horses all pulling the wagon in the same direction (one reason why few conglomerates endure). Yahoo!, in at least trying to outsource search, cutting its losses on Kelkoo and unplugging other weak products, appears finally to be wielding a tighter rein. The new CEO will have to speed that process. --Alain Sherter

See Nov. 17 post about Jerry Yang's stepping down as Yahoo! CEO from Tech Confidential
See Nov. 21 post about Yahoo!'s sale of Kelkoo from Tech Confidential
See Nov. 5 post on the DOJ blocking the Yahoo!-Google ad deal from Tech Confidential

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